Outlook Through Super Tuesday: More Prognostication, for What It’s Worth.

24 January 2008

It seems the race for the Republican nomination is in some disarray.  Some pundits are predicting a brokered convention.  Some Fred heads are talking write in votes in an attempt to force a brokered convention.  What are the likely scenarios through Super Tuesday?
Giuliani had a solid lead in Florida before the early primaries.  Some polls [...]

Romney Finally Wins One

15 January 2008

As soon as the polls closed in Michigan FOX News declared Romney the winner in the Republican primary.  As the votes continue to be counted Romney’s lead continues to increase.  When FOX News called it the lead was six points.  As I write this that lead has expanded to nine percent over McCain.  The question [...]

Looking Toward the South Carolina Primary

13 January 2008

The South Carolina primary is a week away and at present Huckabee is projected to win here. Thompson, however, had a very good night in the debate on FOX News Thursday and McCain is pulling out all the stops to prevent a repeat of 2000. What is the likely outcome?
Regular readers will recall [...]

Republican Presidential Forum

6 January 2008

I vastly prefer the format of the Republican Presidential Forum tonight vs. the standard debates.  Issues are dealt with on a much deeper basis and the candidates have the opportunity to actually answer question in depth.  Tonight was outstanding.  Chris Wallace was relentless in seeking answers to the questions he asked and he was equally [...]

Early Iowa Observations

3 January 2008

It’s late on caucus night and I’m about to go to bed.  I’ll have more to say tomorrow but I didn’t want to close the evening without a few comments about the Iowa caucus and my predictions.
I nailed Huckabee.  He won with a significant margin.  I was off on Romney and McCain.  McCain didn’t get [...]

Iowa Caucus Predictions

2 January 2008

To voters in primary states the Iowa Caucus is not well understood.  That’s because a caucus doesn’t work the way a primary works.  In a primary everyone comes out and votes for their candidate and the one with the most votes wins.  In some states if no one gets a majority of votes there may [...]

A Stroke of Genius

1 January 2008

Amidst all the attacks against Mike Huckabee coming from the right has been the accusation that Huckabee just isn’t up to the job of being President.  But he pulled off a stroke of genius in the last few days.  I’m referring to Huckabee’s negative ad that isn’t.
In an email to supporters Huckabee told about his [...]